Bookies rate Elliott a 14-1 chance to top score in series

Cricket-loving students may enjoy keeping track of predictions which are made at the beginning of the season. Similar articles to the one presented here occur for many sports throughout the year.

Each of the odds quoted can be turned into a probability and a percentage; eg, for Elliott, 14-1 means the probability of him being top scorer in the test series was 1/15 or 6.7%. How does this compare with the values quoted for Mark and Steve Waugh? Students might discuss why Elliott is placed in the headline rather than Mark Waugh. Do they think it would have been a good bet to put money on Elliott?

Perhaps the most motivating aspect of an article like this is that it can be put on the notice board until the season is over and the highest run-scorer and wicket-taker compared with the odds predicted.

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Student Questions for this article
Newspaper article
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Index - Chance and Basic Probability
Numeracy in the News - Main Index